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10 Largest Positioning Changes in the Stock Market - September 2018 Update

Wednesday, Sep 12, 2018

Knowing large positioning changes is very important in identifying the next trading opportunity, as some might be fundamental-driven and thus lasting longer while others might be tactical-driven and therefore short-lived. According to CrowdThnk’s consensus positioning measure, here are the 10 stocks that have seen the largest positioning since August 2018:

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10 Most Crowded Trades in the Stock Market - August 2018 Update

Thursday, Aug 23, 2018

It is very important to identify crowded trades in the stock market as an overcrowded or under-positioned stock may demonstrate distinct, predictable probabilities in terms of future price action. Based on CrowdThnk’s consensus positioning measure, here are the current 10 most crowded trades in the stock market:

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5 Historical EM Currency Crises give insight into the Future Path for the Turkish Lira and what it means for US Stocks

Thursday, Aug 16, 2018

While the fallout from the historic plunge from the Turkish Lira remains to be seen and its contagion across global markets has investors on edge, there are a few historical precedents that give insight into the potential future path for the Turkish Lira.  In particular, Turkey’s currency crisis has a few historical parallels to the Asian Crises of 1997 which beset many Asian countries and ultimately ended up needing IMF support to stabilize their currencies.  With a maligned monetary policy and economic direction, there are bound to be a few more bumps in the road with high volatility before the path for the Lira improves.  By delving into what transpired in historical crises, we can gain introspection into what can transpire in the future.

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10 Largest Positioning Changes in the Stock Market - August 2018 Update

Tuesday, Aug 7, 2018

Knowing large positioning changes is very important in identifying the next trading opportunity, as some might be fundamental-driven and thus lasting longer while others might be tactical-driven and therefore short-lived. According to CrowdThnk’s consensus positioning measure, here are the 10 stocks that have seen the largest positioning since July 2018:

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How Does this Market Melt-Up Compare to Historical Episodes?

Wednesday, Jul 25, 2018

 

While Nasdaq investors have experienced a bumper year for their investments, bolstered by outperformance of the likes of Netflix, Amazon and Microsoft, value investors have had a tough time finding outperformance in a market beset by historically high valuations, one of the priciest in history.  CrowdThnk’s positioning data reveals that positioning is once again near the extreme overweight side of the spectrum, especially amongst outperforming Tech and Consumer Discretionary sectors.  With a clear decline in breadth amongst advancers in the S&P – only 8 stocks account for 100% of the price gains in the index this year – the market is looking increasingly like the late stages of the stock market cycle.  Most late-cycle stages typically end with a melt-up higher in the most attractive asset class and with a return of +13% YTD, the Nasdaq fits that description, benefitting from investor inflows that have shied away from assets such as Emerging Markets and Bonds.   However, with the increased uncertainty surrounding an impending Global Trade War, even the most casual market observer must question whether these lofty valuations are sustainable or if we’re heading for a market correction.  A look into historical late-cycle, bubble episodes can give us an insight on where we are in the cycle and where we could potentially go from here.

 

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10 Most Crowded Trades in the Stock Market - July 2018 Update

Thursday, Jul 19, 2018

It is very important to identify crowded trades in the stock market as an overcrowded or under-positioned stock may demonstrate distinct, predictable probabilities in terms of future price action. Based on CrowdThnk’s consensus positioning measure, here are the current 10 most crowded trades in the stock market:

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CrowdThnk measures & quantifies stock market consensus positioning to provide clients with data-driven insights and actionable analytics. Using Crowdsourced data and Big Data Analytics, we aggregate & assess consensus market positioning and use Machine Learning to forecast future market direction for over 500 stocks. Our process is built to help investors achieve a market edge and boost investment performance by Harnessing the Wisdom of Crowds.

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